Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 10.550042 11.670216 12.872225 14.260140 15.821220 17.525837 19.532208
2025-10-12 9.068323 10.661547 12.493702 14.765929 17.521316 20.770702 24.916785
2025-10-19 7.813178 9.664540 11.921033 14.895714 18.746474 23.607105 30.276821
2025-10-26 6.776010 8.749603 11.277239 14.789891 19.605089 26.062179 35.525533
2025-11-02 5.945965 7.966776 10.668220 14.599996 20.270617 28.299890 40.796651
2025-11-09 5.270883 7.293431 10.100698 14.357297 20.782305 30.339786 46.061100
2025-11-16 4.740604 6.750976 9.636951 14.178241 21.324429 32.450953 51.727147
2025-11-23 4.325057 6.322397 9.279311 14.094079 21.969938 34.769969 58.067262
2025-11-30 4.070306 6.101955 9.200689 14.417724 23.283688 38.321171 67.085711
2025-12-07 3.754704 5.753234 8.881592 14.305055 23.838325 40.635561 74.241451
2025-12-14 3.434821 5.366031 8.459580 13.965203 23.942133 42.140916 80.084542
2025-12-21 3.205024 5.102723 8.212153 13.891124 24.498359 44.530255 88.076396
2025-12-28 3.088992 5.022206 8.270510 14.377451 26.179917 49.366290 102.247610
2026-01-04 2.969404 4.924850 8.290199 14.795477 27.789398 54.318413 117.757828
2026-01-11 2.808407 4.741155 8.139443 14.874653 28.735934 58.048946 131.280536
2026-01-18 2.632866 4.516636 7.893769 14.741427 29.226183 60.871148 143.229147
2026-01-25 2.464896 4.292061 7.627652 14.537382 29.537115 63.337616 154.829917
2026-02-01 2.307010 4.073623 7.354003 14.287891 29.714545 65.520237 166.180399
2026-02-08 2.171409 3.886558 7.124589 14.105515 30.017103 68.046432 179.083809
2026-02-15 2.058366 3.733904 6.949466 14.019503 30.528791 71.167946 194.479666
2026-02-22 1.997708 3.677828 6.961228 14.339878 32.042373 77.091114 219.898905
2026-03-01 1.897298 3.535973 6.786979 14.227187 32.487138 80.277279 237.538554
2026-03-08 1.782953 3.358381 6.525176 13.889059 32.325705 81.790486 250.070785